This
module is based on sections 5.2 and 5.3 of Calculus: Modeling and Application,
by D. A. Smith and L. C. Moore, D. C. Heath and Co., 1996, and on a related
laboratory project published in several accompanying lab manuals. Coauthors
of the lab manuals include Bill Barker (Mathematica), Dick Schori (Maple),
Phil Lestmann (Derive), Lewis Blake (HP calculators), and Sam Morris (TI calculators).
Our data
from the Centers for Disease Control for Hong Kong flu in New York City were
quoted in "Mathematical Models for the Urban-Suburban Spread of Disease,"
by Geoffrey M. Davis, a paper submitted for Graduation with Distinction from
Duke University, 1988.
Our
sections on contact number and herd immunity are based in part on a preliminary
version of Calculus Using Mathematica by K. D. Stroyan, Academic Press,
1994, and in part on "Herd Immunity," a student project handout
by A. L. Miller and K. D. Stroyan.